BeverageActiveCloses in 10 months on Mar 13, 2027

Will the founder of a top-10 functional beverage brand step down in 2026?

51%YES chance
Yes
51%
No
49%

Now 50.8%

Resolution

Resolves YES if a founder-CEO (defined as a person who was a co-founder of the brand AND held the CEO or sole-Co-CEO title on 2026-01-01) of any brand ranked in the top 10 of the Circana 52-week tracked-channel functional beverage category as of the most recent Circana report before 2026-01-01, publicly announces their resignation, retirement, or removal from the CEO role on or before 2026-12-31 11:59pm PT. Sources: company press release, board announcement, BevNET / Modern Retail / Bloomberg coverage. Transition to a chairman or executive-chairman role counts as stepping down. Death or incapacitation also counts.

Resolves by Mar 23, 2027.

Recent trades

  • NO@lanechen
    102.4 sh@ 51%48 SP
  • YES@juneyoon
    113.6 sh@ 56%60 SP
  • NO@lanechen
    82.7 sh@ 51%39 SP
  • YES@sagecarrillo
    156.9 sh@ 55%80 SP
  • YES@drewhayes
    188.4 sh@ 47%80 SP
  • YES@frankieblake
    244.1 sh@ 38%80 SP
  • YES@juneyoon
    38.8 sh@ 52%20 SP
  • NO@sashapark
    114.5 sh@ 28%80 SP
  • NO@tatumkim
    61.8 sh@ 32%41 SP
  • NO@sageunderhill
    122 sh@ 35%76 SP
  • YES@elliskhan
    225.7 sh@ 41%80 SP
  • NO@blakevargas
    110.3 sh@ 31%74 SP
  • NO@morgansantos
    129.4 sh@ 35%80 SP
  • YES@caseyokafor
    57.8 sh@ 41%23 SP
  • YES@elliskhan
    129.3 sh@ 38%46 SP
  • NO@kaiunderhill
    124 sh@ 33%80 SP
  • NO@remymoss
    136.6 sh@ 38%80 SP
  • NO@sashahayes
    155.7 sh@ 45%80 SP

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Discussion

  • @emersonhayesEmerson Hayeslast month

    you may be right, that's the problem.

    • @juneyoonJune Yoonlast month

      you may be right, that's the problem.

  • @averylopezAvery Lopez9 days ago

    fading the consensus here.