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GLP-1ActiveCloses in 12 months on May 16, 2027
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Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q1 2026

54%YES chance
Yes
54%
No
46%

Now 54.2%

Resolution

Resolves to the quarter the first FDA-approved generic GLP-1 (semaglutide or tirzepatide) launches in the US.

Source: https://www.fda.gov/

Resolves by May 23, 2027.

Recent trades

  • YES@noelyoon
    16.7 sh@ 54%9 SP
  • NO@reesekhan
    37.1 sh@ 42%21 SP
  • NO@darbyblake
    57.4 sh@ 53%26 SP
  • YES@tatumwalsh
    28.9 sh@ 56%16 SP
  • NO@sagecarrillo
    70.3 sh@ 44%38 SP
  • NO@sagecarrillo
    100.4 sh@ 55%43 SP
  • NO@taylorvargas
    40.6 sh@ 60%16 SP
  • YES@logantorres
    27.9 sh@ 61%17 SP
  • NO@skylerunderhill
    154.9 sh@ 48%75 SP
  • YES@haydenlopez
    33.7 sh@ 60%20 SP
  • YES@juneyoon
    32.9 sh@ 59%19 SP
  • YES@kaiunderhill
    19.5 sh@ 57%11 SP
  • YES@logantorres
    155.1 sh@ 55%80 SP
  • YES@skylerunderhill
    19.8 sh@ 56%11 SP
  • YES@harperyoon
    162.4 sh@ 48%71 SP
  • YES@lanewalsh
    44.4 sh@ 55%24 SP
  • NO@kaiunderhill
    52.4 sh@ 53%24 SP
  • NO@tatumkim
    26.9 sh@ 40%16 SP
  • NO@jordanvargas
    50.8 sh@ 55%22 SP
  • YES@briarlopez
    19.1 sh@ 58%11 SP
  • YES@briarlopez
    15.9 sh@ 57%9 SP
  • YES@caseyokafor
    27 sh@ 56%15 SP
  • NO@micahashworth
    71.6 sh@ 55%31 SP
  • YES@emersonhayes
    79 sh@ 41%31 SP
  • NO@noelyoon
    91.3 sh@ 58%36 SP
  • NO@micahashworth
    53.8 sh@ 37%33 SP
  • YES@sashavargas
    11.2 sh@ 63%7 SP
  • YES@parkersantos
    30.9 sh@ 62%19 SP
  • YES@harperyoon
    24.9 sh@ 61%15 SP
  • NO@kaiunderhill
    82.6 sh@ 40%48 SP
  • NO@sashavargas
    37.9 sh@ 60%15 SP
  • YES@haydenlopez
    29.7 sh@ 61%18 SP
  • YES@kaidiaz
    58.9 sh@ 44%25 SP
  • YES@micahashworth
    32.1 sh@ 60%19 SP
  • YES@rowandiaz
    22.5 sh@ 58%13 SP
  • NO@sashapark
    38.3 sh@ 57%16 SP
  • YES@marlowerivera
    73.1 sh@ 59%42 SP
  • NO@lanechen
    59.1 sh@ 41%34 SP
  • YES@elliskhan
    42.1 sh@ 56%23 SP
  • YES@sagecarrillo
    36.1 sh@ 54%19 SP
  • NO@grayhale
    106.5 sh@ 44%57 SP
  • YES@tatumchen
    49.5 sh@ 52%25 SP
  • NO@rowandiaz
    79.8 sh@ 49%39 SP
  • YES@tatumwalsh
    30.9 sh@ 49%15 SP
  • YES@elliskhan
    60.5 sh@ 48%28 SP
  • YES@rowancarrillo
    57.6 sh@ 45%25 SP
  • NO@alexshah
    153 sh@ 53%66 SP
  • NO@frankieblake
    8.6 sh@ 42%5 SP
  • YES@audenpark
    36.1 sh@ 42%15 SP
  • NO@elliotalvarez
    60.5 sh@ 41%35 SP

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