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GLP-1ActiveCloses in 12 months on May 16, 2027
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Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q2 2026

74%YES chance
Yes
74%
No
26%

Now 74.4%

Resolution

Resolves to the quarter the first FDA-approved generic GLP-1 (semaglutide or tirzepatide) launches in the US.

Source: https://www.fda.gov/

Resolves by May 23, 2027.

Recent trades

  • YES@tatumjensen
    62.8 sh@ 74%46 SP
  • YES@marlowerivera
    36.4 sh@ 72%26 SP
  • YES@kaiunderhill
    50 sh@ 73%36 SP
  • YES@skylercarrillo
    37.1 sh@ 71%26 SP
  • YES@rowanmonroe
    29 sh@ 69%20 SP
  • YES@sageunderhill
    32.5 sh@ 68%22 SP
  • YES@rowandiaz
    83.6 sh@ 71%58 SP
  • YES@parkerokafor
    39.5 sh@ 54%21 SP
  • YES@tatumchen
    16.5 sh@ 67%11 SP
  • NO@drewhayes
    121.4 sh@ 66%38 SP
  • NO@kaipatel
    72.4 sh@ 71%20 SP
  • YES@logantorres
    92.7 sh@ 68%61 SP
  • YES@skylerunderhill
    28.7 sh@ 74%21 SP
  • YES@skylercarrillo
    41.7 sh@ 73%30 SP
  • YES@finleyyoon
    104.2 sh@ 64%64 SP
  • YES@wrenvargas
    34 sh@ 71%24 SP
  • YES@lanepowell
    40.5 sh@ 70%28 SP
  • NO@audenpark
    175.8 sh@ 59%65 SP
  • NO@micahashworth
    152.7 sh@ 68%44 SP
  • YES@sashapark
    25.9 sh@ 74%19 SP
  • YES@sageunderhill
    97.2 sh@ 67%63 SP
  • YES@micahashworth
    26.2 sh@ 73%19 SP
  • YES@logantorres
    43.1 sh@ 52%22 SP
  • NO@kaipatel
    87.2 sh@ 72%23 SP
  • YES@grayhale
    39 sh@ 75%29 SP
  • YES@sashavargas
    113.3 sh@ 63%68 SP
  • YES@emersonhayes
    13.6 sh@ 74%10 SP
  • YES@rileykim
    82.1 sh@ 73%59 SP
  • YES@alexalvarez
    70.1 sh@ 57%39 SP
  • YES@micahashworth
    44.6 sh@ 70%31 SP
  • YES@tatumchen
    33.9 sh@ 69%23 SP
  • NO@kaiunderhill
    70.2 sh@ 67%22 SP
  • YES@skylercarrillo
    160.4 sh@ 54%80 SP
  • NO@audenpark
    138.5 sh@ 70%38 SP
  • YES@tatumwalsh
    33.6 sh@ 75%25 SP
  • YES@lanejensen
    28.6 sh@ 74%21 SP
  • YES@rileykim
    31.8 sh@ 73%23 SP
  • YES@tatumkim
    14 sh@ 72%10 SP
  • NO@kaipatel
    159.6 sh@ 46%80 SP
  • YES@drewhayes
    15.5 sh@ 71%11 SP
  • YES@finleyyoon
    17.1 sh@ 71%12 SP
  • NO@harperyoon
    192.8 sh@ 54%80 SP
  • NO@rileykim
    84.3 sh@ 70%24 SP
  • YES@grayhale
    93.6 sh@ 63%57 SP
  • YES@averylopez
    51.3 sh@ 73%37 SP
  • YES@tatumwalsh
    60 sh@ 71%42 SP
  • YES@rileykim
    21.9 sh@ 69%15 SP
  • YES@sashahayes
    20.7 sh@ 68%14 SP
  • NO@alexalvarez
    177.2 sh@ 59%66 SP
  • YES@tatumchen
    66.9 sh@ 67%44 SP

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