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GLP-1ActiveCloses in 12 months on May 16, 2027
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Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q3 2026

63%YES chance
Yes
63%
No
37%

Now 63.0%

Resolution

Resolves to the quarter the first FDA-approved generic GLP-1 (semaglutide or tirzepatide) launches in the US.

Source: https://www.fda.gov/

Resolves by May 23, 2027.

Recent trades

  • YES@haydenlopez
    58.3 sh@ 53%30 SP
  • NO@skylerunderhill
    47.3 sh@ 63%17 SP
  • NO@finleyyoon
    113.7 sh@ 65%37 SP
  • NO@lanejensen
    58.3 sh@ 70%17 SP
  • NO@frankieblake
    306.6 sh@ 72%71 SP
  • YES@alexalvarez
    52.2 sh@ 81%42 SP
  • YES@taylorvargas
    20.1 sh@ 80%16 SP
  • YES@kaiunderhill
    102.8 sh@ 79%80 SP
  • YES@rowancarrillo
    51.6 sh@ 76%39 SP
  • YES@lanejensen
    109.9 sh@ 75%80 SP
  • YES@caseyokafor
    109.2 sh@ 71%75 SP
  • YES@kaipatel
    70.8 sh@ 66%46 SP
  • YES@parkerokafor
    111.8 sh@ 63%68 SP
  • NO@skylerunderhill
    148.8 sh@ 58%57 SP
  • YES@frankieblake
    64.4 sh@ 65%41 SP
  • YES@skylerpowell
    91.6 sh@ 62%55 SP
  • YES@drewhayes
    53 sh@ 58%30 SP
  • YES@morgansantos
    48.1 sh@ 55%26 SP

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Discussion

  • @rowanmonroeRowan Monroe7 days ago

    interesting angle.