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GLP-1ActiveCloses in 12 months on May 16, 2027
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Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q3 2026

68%YES chance
Yes
68%
No
32%

Now 68.2%

Resolution

Resolves to the quarter the first FDA-approved generic GLP-1 (semaglutide or tirzepatide) launches in the US.

Source: https://www.fda.gov/

Resolves by May 23, 2027.

Recent trades

  • YES@haydenlopez
    58.3 sh@ 53%30 SP
  • NO@alexalvarez
    89.9 sh@ 68%27 SP
  • YES@rowandiaz
    63.9 sh@ 72%45 SP
  • NO@skylerunderhill
    47.3 sh@ 63%17 SP
  • YES@rowandiaz
    48.3 sh@ 69%33 SP
  • YES@caseyokafor
    11.9 sh@ 67%8 SP
  • NO@finleyyoon
    113.7 sh@ 65%37 SP
  • YES@harperyoon
    53.3 sh@ 67%35 SP
  • YES@blakevargas
    31.3 sh@ 65%20 SP
  • NO@drewhayes
    79.7 sh@ 63%28 SP
  • NO@lanejensen
    58.3 sh@ 70%17 SP
  • NO@remymoss
    27.4 sh@ 67%9 SP
  • YES@sashavargas
    20.8 sh@ 68%14 SP
  • NO@frankieblake
    306.6 sh@ 72%71 SP
  • NO@logantorres
    21.4 sh@ 67%7 SP
  • NO@finleyyoon
    74.8 sh@ 68%23 SP
  • YES@morgansantos
    54.6 sh@ 71%38 SP
  • YES@alexalvarez
    52.2 sh@ 81%42 SP
  • NO@darbyblake
    214.9 sh@ 69%59 SP
  • YES@sashapark
    15.8 sh@ 76%12 SP
  • YES@taylorvargas
    20.1 sh@ 80%16 SP
  • YES@taylorvargas
    44 sh@ 76%33 SP
  • YES@rowandiaz
    49 sh@ 74%36 SP
  • YES@tatumwalsh
    55.9 sh@ 73%40 SP
  • YES@sageunderhill
    57.6 sh@ 71%40 SP
  • YES@kaiunderhill
    102.8 sh@ 79%80 SP
  • NO@sashapark
    118.9 sh@ 68%35 SP
  • NO@lanechen
    131.8 sh@ 73%33 SP
  • YES@rileykim
    16.9 sh@ 77%13 SP
  • YES@rowancarrillo
    51.6 sh@ 76%39 SP
  • NO@audenpark
    100 sh@ 77%22 SP
  • YES@remymoss
    38 sh@ 79%30 SP
  • YES@lanejensen
    109.9 sh@ 75%80 SP
  • YES@rowancarrillo
    24.4 sh@ 78%19 SP
  • NO@sashahayes
    174.9 sh@ 78%35 SP
  • YES@parkerokafor
    18.3 sh@ 82%15 SP
  • YES@caseyokafor
    109.2 sh@ 71%75 SP
  • YES@sashapark
    24.6 sh@ 82%20 SP
  • YES@kaipatel
    70.8 sh@ 66%46 SP
  • YES@sageunderhill
    34.7 sh@ 81%28 SP
  • YES@averylopez
    31.3 sh@ 80%25 SP
  • YES@sashapark
    26.5 sh@ 79%21 SP
  • YES@alexshah
    57.7 sh@ 79%45 SP
  • YES@parkerokafor
    111.8 sh@ 63%68 SP
  • YES@reesekhan
    24.8 sh@ 77%19 SP
  • NO@skylerunderhill
    148.8 sh@ 58%57 SP
  • NO@rowancarrillo
    66.3 sh@ 76%15 SP
  • YES@sashahayes
    49 sh@ 78%38 SP
  • YES@alexalvarez
    55.2 sh@ 77%42 SP
  • YES@micahbennett
    62 sh@ 75%46 SP

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