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GLP-1ActiveCloses in 12 months on May 16, 2027
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Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q4 2026

71%YES chance
Yes
71%
No
29%

Now 71.1%

Resolution

Resolves to the quarter the first FDA-approved generic GLP-1 (semaglutide or tirzepatide) launches in the US.

Source: https://www.fda.gov/

Resolves by May 23, 2027.

Recent trades

  • YES@logantorres
    86.4 sh@ 71%60 SP
  • NO@alexkhan
    113.1 sh@ 68%34 SP
  • YES@tatumchen
    93.8 sh@ 72%66 SP
  • YES@alexalvarez
    121.3 sh@ 69%80 SP
  • NO@wrenvargas
    42 sh@ 63%15 SP
  • YES@drewhayes
    51.5 sh@ 65%33 SP
  • NO@harperyoon
    187.5 sh@ 63%62 SP
  • YES@reesekhan
    100.4 sh@ 71%69 SP
  • YES@drewhayes
    24.2 sh@ 67%16 SP
  • YES@tatumkim
    76.5 sh@ 66%49 SP
  • YES@rileykim
    135.3 sh@ 62%80 SP
  • YES@morgansantos
    41.9 sh@ 56%23 SP
  • NO@taylorvargas
    74.4 sh@ 54%33 SP
  • YES@rileykim
    60.7 sh@ 57%34 SP
  • NO@alexalvarez
    137.6 sh@ 55%58 SP
  • YES@rowanmonroe
    26.4 sh@ 61%16 SP
  • YES@briarlopez
    122.9 sh@ 60%70 SP
  • YES@rowandiaz
    78.9 sh@ 54%41 SP

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Discussion

  • @averylopezAvery Lopez8 days ago

    could see it either way.