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GLP-1ActiveCloses in 12 months on May 16, 2027
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Generic GLP-1 launch in US: Q4 2026

58%YES chance
Yes
58%
No
42%

Now 58.2%

Resolution

Resolves to the quarter the first FDA-approved generic GLP-1 (semaglutide or tirzepatide) launches in the US.

Source: https://www.fda.gov/

Resolves by May 23, 2027.

Recent trades

  • NO@wrenvargas
    54.3 sh@ 58%22 SP
  • YES@parkerokafor
    38.4 sh@ 61%23 SP
  • YES@logantorres
    86.4 sh@ 71%60 SP
  • NO@grayhale
    47.6 sh@ 59%19 SP
  • NO@blakevargas
    36.9 sh@ 61%14 SP
  • NO@haydenlopez
    125.1 sh@ 63%43 SP
  • NO@alexkhan
    113.1 sh@ 68%34 SP
  • YES@skylerunderhill
    7.3 sh@ 68%5 SP
  • YES@tatumchen
    93.8 sh@ 72%66 SP
  • YES@blakeunderhill
    16.3 sh@ 68%11 SP
  • NO@jordanvargas
    53.7 sh@ 67%17 SP
  • YES@alexalvarez
    121.3 sh@ 69%80 SP
  • YES@sashapark
    37.9 sh@ 69%26 SP
  • YES@sashavargas
    29.7 sh@ 68%20 SP
  • YES@averylopez
    13.6 sh@ 67%9 SP
  • NO@wrenvargas
    42 sh@ 63%15 SP
  • YES@rileykim
    57 sh@ 66%37 SP
  • NO@lanejensen
    13.9 sh@ 64%5 SP
  • NO@jordanvargas
    14.1 sh@ 64%5 SP
  • YES@rowandiaz
    7.7 sh@ 65%5 SP
  • YES@drewhayes
    51.5 sh@ 65%33 SP
  • YES@parkerokafor
    34.5 sh@ 65%22 SP
  • NO@harperyoon
    187.5 sh@ 63%62 SP
  • YES@emersonhayes
    16 sh@ 63%10 SP
  • YES@frankieblake
    9.7 sh@ 62%6 SP
  • YES@skylercarrillo
    9.7 sh@ 62%6 SP
  • YES@reesekhan
    100.4 sh@ 71%69 SP
  • YES@alexshah
    56.6 sh@ 61%34 SP
  • NO@lanejensen
    44.8 sh@ 59%18 SP
  • YES@drewhayes
    24.2 sh@ 67%16 SP
  • YES@blakeunderhill
    31.6 sh@ 61%19 SP
  • NO@briarlopez
    45.5 sh@ 59%18 SP
  • YES@audenpark
    41.3 sh@ 62%25 SP
  • YES@tatumjensen
    46.2 sh@ 60%27 SP
  • YES@tatumkim
    76.5 sh@ 66%49 SP
  • YES@logantorres
    21.1 sh@ 57%12 SP
  • YES@rileykim
    135.3 sh@ 62%80 SP
  • NO@emersonhayes
    76.5 sh@ 56%32 SP
  • YES@skylerpowell
    32.1 sh@ 60%19 SP
  • YES@morgansantos
    41.9 sh@ 56%23 SP
  • YES@harperyoon
    13.8 sh@ 58%8 SP
  • YES@skylerunderhill
    8.7 sh@ 58%5 SP
  • NO@taylorvargas
    74.4 sh@ 54%33 SP
  • YES@blakeunderhill
    21.1 sh@ 57%12 SP
  • NO@alexkhan
    76.6 sh@ 56%32 SP
  • NO@juneyoon
    22.8 sh@ 60%9 SP
  • NO@jordanvargas
    95.3 sh@ 61%35 SP
  • YES@rileykim
    60.7 sh@ 57%34 SP
  • YES@emersonhayes
    26.2 sh@ 65%17 SP
  • YES@rowandiaz
    12.5 sh@ 64%8 SP

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