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GLP-1ActiveCloses in 12 months on May 1, 2027
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Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Eli Lilly (tirzepatide)

73%YES chance
Yes
73%
No
27%

Now 72.7%

Resolution

Resolves to the manufacturer with the larger US GLP-1 prescription share gain across calendar 2026.

Source: https://www.iqvia.com/

Resolves by May 8, 2027.

Recent trades

  • YES@kaiunderhill
    87.2 sh@ 73%62 SP
  • YES@tatumchen
    146.5 sh@ 40%54 SP
  • YES@lanewalsh
    61.6 sh@ 69%42 SP
  • YES@sageunderhill
    22.6 sh@ 67%15 SP
  • NO@kaidiaz
    96.5 sh@ 34%62 SP
  • YES@remymoss
    36.8 sh@ 66%24 SP
  • YES@sashapark
    33 sh@ 64%21 SP
  • NO@audenpark
    44.2 sh@ 38%27 SP
  • YES@parkersantos
    53.5 sh@ 63%33 SP
  • YES@skylercarrillo
    18.3 sh@ 60%11 SP
  • YES@sashapark
    10.1 sh@ 60%6 SP
  • NO@micahbennett
    63.5 sh@ 59%25 SP
  • NO@skylerpowell
    141.1 sh@ 40%80 SP
  • NO@haydenlopez
    43.3 sh@ 62%16 SP
  • YES@taylorvargas
    75.7 sh@ 47%34 SP
  • YES@jordanvargas
    52.5 sh@ 64%33 SP
  • YES@taylorvargas
    31.2 sh@ 62%19 SP
  • YES@rowanmonroe
    37.1 sh@ 60%22 SP
  • YES@kaipatel
    54.2 sh@ 58%31 SP
  • YES@sageunderhill
    19.9 sh@ 56%11 SP
  • NO@rowanmonroe
    30.2 sh@ 43%17 SP
  • NO@harperyoon
    81.1 sh@ 55%35 SP
  • NO@rowanmonroe
    43.1 sh@ 48%22 SP
  • NO@lanejensen
    65.6 sh@ 59%26 SP
  • YES@lanejensen
    64.6 sh@ 62%39 SP
  • YES@haydenlopez
    67.6 sh@ 45%29 SP
  • YES@blakevargas
    29.2 sh@ 59%17 SP
  • NO@lanechen
    93.8 sh@ 41%53 SP
  • YES@grayhale
    70 sh@ 57%39 SP
  • NO@haydenlopez
    33.2 sh@ 54%15 SP
  • YES@emersonhayes
    38.4 sh@ 56%21 SP
  • NO@parkersantos
    140 sh@ 46%71 SP
  • YES@taylorvargas
    43.7 sh@ 54%23 SP
  • YES@finleyyoon
    19.6 sh@ 52%10 SP
  • YES@marlowerivera
    126.9 sh@ 53%63 SP
  • NO@noelyoon
    37.1 sh@ 51%18 SP
  • YES@reesekhan
    17.3 sh@ 52%9 SP
  • NO@grayhale
    48.7 sh@ 52%23 SP
  • YES@sashahayes
    16.8 sh@ 54%9 SP
  • NO@sashahayes
    45.8 sh@ 46%24 SP
  • YES@harperyoon
    66 sh@ 53%34 SP
  • NO@wrenvargas
    77 sh@ 49%38 SP
  • NO@sageunderhill
    12 sh@ 50%6 SP
  • NO@sageunderhill
    49.7 sh@ 51%24 SP
  • YES@blakeunderhill
    42.4 sh@ 53%22 SP
  • NO@jordanvargas
    173.8 sh@ 53%75 SP
  • NO@wrenvargas
    71.8 sh@ 51%34 SP
  • YES@rowancarrillo
    88 sh@ 54%46 SP
  • YES@tatumchen
    72.5 sh@ 50%35 SP
  • YES@rowancarrillo
    24 sh@ 46%11 SP

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Discussion

Comments (1)

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  • @juneyoon·last month

    loaded up, the data is there.