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GLP-1ActiveCloses in 12 months on May 1, 2027
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Lilly vs Novo: bigger GLP-1 share gain in 2026: Novo Nordisk (semaglutide)

52%YES chance
Yes
52%
No
48%

Now 52.2%

Resolution

Resolves to the manufacturer with the larger US GLP-1 prescription share gain across calendar 2026.

Source: https://www.iqvia.com/

Resolves by May 8, 2027.

Recent trades

  • NO@rowandiaz
    14.8 sh@ 52%7 SP
  • NO@elliskhan
    89.2 sh@ 53%40 SP
  • NO@kaidiaz
    29.3 sh@ 45%16 SP
  • NO@skylercarrillo
    139.8 sh@ 57%55 SP
  • NO@rowandiaz
    160.6 sh@ 46%80 SP
  • YES@tatumchen
    102.4 sh@ 64%63 SP
  • NO@alexshah
    112.5 sh@ 59%43 SP
  • NO@sashavargas
    61.1 sh@ 64%21 SP
  • YES@sashahayes
    66.6 sh@ 54%35 SP
  • YES@drewhayes
    45.5 sh@ 67%30 SP
  • YES@finleyyoon
    31.9 sh@ 51%16 SP
  • NO@lanechen
    56.2 sh@ 65%19 SP
  • YES@rileykim
    77.6 sh@ 67%51 SP
  • YES@lanejensen
    78.2 sh@ 49%37 SP
  • YES@micahbennett
    92 sh@ 64%57 SP
  • NO@sashahayes
    97.6 sh@ 60%37 SP
  • YES@reesekhan
    196.7 sh@ 45%80 SP
  • NO@finleyyoon
    28.5 sh@ 64%10 SP
  • YES@jordanvargas
    51.2 sh@ 66%33 SP
  • YES@darbyblake
    12.7 sh@ 63%8 SP
  • YES@rowandiaz
    60.3 sh@ 63%37 SP
  • YES@taylorvargas
    135.4 sh@ 36%45 SP
  • NO@lanechen
    46.2 sh@ 60%18 SP
  • NO@logantorres
    27.5 sh@ 30%19 SP
  • YES@rowandiaz
    86.6 sh@ 62%52 SP
  • YES@tatumkim
    36.8 sh@ 58%21 SP
  • NO@blakeunderhill
    121.4 sh@ 32%80 SP
  • YES@alexalvarez
    17.9 sh@ 56%10 SP
  • YES@parkersantos
    84.5 sh@ 55%45 SP
  • YES@caseyokafor
    107.6 sh@ 37%37 SP
  • YES@lanewalsh
    52.1 sh@ 51%26 SP
  • NO@tatumchen
    98 sh@ 49%48 SP
  • NO@noelyoon
    114.5 sh@ 32%75 SP
  • YES@skylerpowell
    79.7 sh@ 53%41 SP
  • YES@rowancarrillo
    51.9 sh@ 49%25 SP
  • NO@micahbennett
    56.1 sh@ 47%29 SP
  • YES@noelyoon
    44.4 sh@ 37%16 SP
  • YES@morgansantos
    68.8 sh@ 50%33 SP
  • YES@rowanmonroe
    50 sh@ 35%17 SP
  • YES@alexkhan
    79 sh@ 46%35 SP
  • NO@tatumchen
    105.4 sh@ 42%58 SP
  • NO@sashapark
    56.8 sh@ 48%29 SP
  • NO@blakeunderhill
    92.2 sh@ 33%60 SP
  • NO@kaipatel
    111 sh@ 50%52 SP
  • YES@noelyoon
    44.5 sh@ 37%16 SP
  • YES@alexkhan
    127 sh@ 56%67 SP
  • YES@elliskhan
    75.4 sh@ 50%36 SP
  • NO@micahbennett
    100.3 sh@ 35%63 SP
  • NO@sashavargas
    18.6 sh@ 46%10 SP
  • YES@jordanvargas
    59.6 sh@ 47%27 SP

Top holders

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