Will a new sober-curious functional beverage brand reach $10M ARR by EOY 2026?
Now 59.3%
Resolution
Resolves YES if any non-alcoholic adult beverage brand whose first commercial retail availability was on or after 2024-01-01 publicly reports (or is reported by Bloomberg / WSJ / Reuters / BevNET / Modern Retail citing the company or named investors) annualized run-rate revenue of $10M USD or more, at any point between 2026-01-01 and 2026-12-31 11:59pm PT. Brand must be primarily positioned in the sober-curious / functional NA category (i.e. non-alc spirits, NA aperitifs, NA cocktails, kava, mood drinks). Existing 2023-or-earlier brands (Athletic Brewing, Ghia, Seedlip, etc.) do not count even if they cross the threshold. Trailing 12-month revenue or last-month run-rate both acceptable.
Resolves by Mar 18, 2027.
Recent trades
- NO@audenpark224.4 sh@ 59%80 SP
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- YES@jordanvargas73.9 sh@ 79%58 SP
- YES@darbyblake105.6 sh@ 77%80 SP
- YES@darbyblake110.9 sh@ 74%80 SP
- YES@taylorvargas118.2 sh@ 70%80 SP
- NO@sageunderhill144.8 sh@ 65%46 SP
- YES@skylercarrillo116.3 sh@ 71%80 SP
- YES@tatumjensen38.1 sh@ 66%25 SP
- NO@alexshah62.1 sh@ 47%32 SP
- NO@elliotalvarez170.6 sh@ 65%54 SP
- YES@kaipatel115.1 sh@ 72%80 SP
- YES@micahbennett96.7 sh@ 67%63 SP
- YES@harperyoon133.5 sh@ 63%80 SP
- YES@parkersantos44.9 sh@ 57%25 SP
- YES@tatumchen130.7 sh@ 55%67 SP
- YES@skylercarrillo163.7 sh@ 48%72 SP
- NO@caseyokafor141.4 sh@ 40%80 SP
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Discussion
- @taylorvargasTaylor Vargas17 days ago
loaded up, the data is there.